Writing on prediction, claims, and the science behind the platform
Posts on what we actually think.
Essays on conformal prediction, social inflation, and where generative AI helps and where it doesn't. Written by the team.
Showing 3 posts · Yariv Lissauer
Clear filtersLitigation Funding and the New Math of Claim Exposure
Third-party capital has fundamentally altered the incentives driving bodily injury claims. When the plaintiff's side plays a portfolio game to maximize returns, defense strategies built on historical payout curves become obsolete.
Predicting the Outcome of Disputes: What Claims Leaders Need
Setting initial reserves based on gut instinct and a quick skim of a file is a liability. In an era of social inflation and litigation funding, claims leaders need calibrated forecasts, not wait-and-see guesswork.
Why Day-One Reserves Are Systematically Wrong
Setting an initial reserve is an exercise in institutional guesswork. Adjusters are forced to pick a number before the facts materialize, creating a compounding cycle of misallocated defense spend and missed negotiation leverage.
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