Posts on what we actually think.
Essays on conformal prediction, social inflation, and where generative AI helps and where it doesn't. Written by the team. Slowly.
Showing 8 posts · Yariv Lissauer
Clear filtersHow Predictive Analytics Changes the Claims Operating Model
Claims departments are losing millions to delayed escalation and reactive reserving. Changing the operating model requires moving from instinct to calibrated, case-level forecasting.
Calibrated Reserves: A Better Day-One Number
Setting the initial reserve is often an exercise in defensive guessing. The alternative is a calibrated range that reflects the actual distribution of risk from day one.
The Cost of Late Escalation Recognition
A routine claim sits quietly for months before a demand letter blows through the policy limit. Late escalation recognition is an operating model failure driven by unread documents and reactive defense strategies.
Negotiating Settlements From Data, Not Gut
Plaintiff attorneys walk into mediation armed with structured verdicts and funding algorithms. Defense teams walk in with a spreadsheet and a gut feeling. It is time to eliminate this asymmetry at the negotiation table.
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